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Projecting Arizona’s Stats

September 23rd, 2014 News 6 Comments

Martin Hayvush

In recent years the Wildcats have been known for being balanced, dynamic teams that get contributions from a variety of players. This year should be no different, as the Wildcats will field a roster deep at multiple positions and laden with star talent.

Part of the fun in having such a balanced roster is predicting how it all might shake out. Here’s our early look at how Arizona’s players might fare statistically. Disagree? Share your thoughts with other Wildcat fans in our forum.

TJ McConnell, PG: 9.5 ppg, 6.0 apg, 3.5 rpg, 1.8 spg, 33 mpg

McConnell is a lock to play heavy minutes this season, as he’ll likely be on the court whenever possible outside of blow outs and short breathers. That means we can expect to see similar statistical production to last year, with incremental improvements due to experience, maturity, and increased chemistry. It wouldn’t be a total surprise to see McConnell step up on offense and average double digit scoring figures, though his primary focus will once again be on setting his teammates up with assists and racking up steals with his tough minded defense.

Stanley Johnson, SG/SF/PF: 12.75 ppg, 6.75 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.2 3pg, 32 mpg

Everyone is excited to see what the freshman phenom can do, and by all accounts Johnson should thrive in whatever role he is asked to play this season. Chances are he will match up with both perimeter players and post players, giving him unique statistical opportunity. Expect a well rounded line from the Stanimal, with significant contributions in points and rebounds. Johnson will also provide an extra long range shooter to stretch the floor, and should be a solid shooter from beyond the arc.

Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, SG/SF/PF: 11.0 ppg, 7.25 rpg, 3.5 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.3 bpg, 50% FG, 33 mpg

Like Johnson, Hollis-Jefferson will slide into the lineup anywhere from shooting guard to power forward depending on the opponent’s personnel. Stepping into a starting role will allow RHJ’s game to blossom, and his multi-dimensional talent will be on full display. There will be plenty of games where Hollis-Jefferson chips in double digit rebounds or helps facilitate the offense with a flurry of assists, but his defensive ability will also manifest in the box score. Hollis-Jefferson will likely average over 1 steal and 1 block per game, and could lead Arizona in blocks for a second year.

With more perimeter shooters on the roster this year, Hollis-Jefferson will be able to focus on attacking the rim where he was an elite finisher last year. Expect the sophomore to once again produce a high field goal percentage. Hollis-Jefferson will be relied upon heavily this year for his defensive versatility, so he appears in line for big minutes which should result in a very diverse stat line.

Brandon Ashley, PF/C: 13.25 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 1.3 3pg, 52% FG, 28 mpg

Ashley’s return to the court will be a huge celebration for Arizona, giving them one of the most offensively talented players in the country. His ability to score efficiently in the paint and also shoot the three point shot should make him Arizona’s most consistent scorer, while his offensive rebounding ability will keep his rebound average him on a roster with many excellent rebounders. Ashley may play the center position to spell Kaleb Tarczewski at times, but expect him to do most of his damage as an inside-out power forward.

Kaleb Tarczewski, C: 10.5 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 59% FG, 77% FT, 28 mpg

As one of few true centers in college basketball, Tarczewski will be an imposing force in the paint. On another deep roster, he may not be an offensive focal point but his ability to score from close to the basket will be vital in freeing up Arizona’s perimeter attack. Count on Tarczewski breaking the double digit scoring mark as a junior, while also providing excellent free throw shooting for a big man. Tarczewski’s ability to convert from the free throw stripe will make him an important weapon in breaking down the opponent’s defense.

Gabe York, SG: 8.5 ppg, 1.5 3pg, 22 mpg

While there is some uncertainty to what York’s role may be this season, we can be sure that he will be a three point threat when he is on the court. If York earns a large share of playing time in practice, he could develop into Arizona’s best perimeter shooter and could put up significant scoring numbers. However with a crowded backcourt rotation York will need to fight to secure his role and inconsistency could lower his season averages.

Kadeem Allen, SG: 6.5 ppg, 18 mpg

The battle between the junior college transfer Allen and the veteran York will be one of the most tightly contested position battles on the roster. Like York, Allen is a talented scorer who could provide offensive spark if he were to earn significant minutes. As more of a slasher than a long range shooter, you can expect Allen to do most of his work off the dribble. This could potentially make for a nice co-existence with York, who is more of a spot up three point shooter.

Parker Jackson-Cartwright, PG: 3.0 apg, 0.8 spg, 10 mpg

Jackson-Cartwright will enter the program as a reserve to to McConnell at the point guard position, meaning he won’t necessarily see a lot of action outside of blow outs. But as he becomes more comfortable on the court, you can expect his natural play-making skills to shine. As a cerebral floor leader, Jackson-Cartwright should prove capable of facilitating the offense while McConnell is resting. His speed and peskiness should also result in a high steal rate.

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6 Responses to “Projecting Arizona’s Stats”

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  1. titan4wildcats

    September 23, 2014

    You had me at the first paragraph! The numbers are great and are as real as they can get. Good work-up! Thanks for another great article.

  2. LWash

    September 24, 2014

    This is a great article. If you add up the scores it shows how a balance scoring can rack up points very quickly.

  3. Papadeuce

    September 24, 2014

    i’m really excited to see what happens with this team and expect a very balanced approach once again. Gotta believe we have a chance to be even better this year than last.

  4. mvpreed2

    September 24, 2014

    Is this post under the assumption that Victor/Ristic won’t play this season or that they won’t play enough to be mentioned in the article?
    That was the first thing that I noticed watching this.
    No Pitts/Victor/Ristic at all.

  5. steve green

    September 30, 2014

    Nice write up By the end of the season Craig Victor will contribute first BIG off the bench IMHO

  6. Eric Smith

    September 30, 2014

    Ok, so this is so realistic it is scary- EXCEPT for the 8th guy Jackson-Cartwright. He’s a stud, and a really good fit to be the next true point guard AFTER TJ McConnel is gone he’ll be a perfect floor general. His skill set will be invaluable as TJ has; however, this season, err, not going to happen. He’s def in that 9, 10, 11 guy range well outside the playing rotation. I don’t see him getting any back up point guard time except in garbage time with Ristic, and Pitts. Either York or Allen will be scrapping for those valuable minutes. Also see us using Craig Victor for about 12 minutes a game as a 6’8 long athletic body in there rebounding and essentially playing a little back up power forward and making some high percentage transition buckets for us. It’s gonna be a great year guys, BEAR DOWN!

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